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Mercoledì 23 Febbraio 2005

Tutto bene a Baghdad

O almeno, così ci sentiamo ripetere in continuazione. Dopotutto ci sono state le elezioni democratiche e poi si continua a morire, a decine o centinaia, ma meno di quando c'era Saddam. Possiamo essere soddisfatti, insomma. Adesso pare che i terroristi abbiano una nuova strategia: distruggere le infrastrutture della città, le linee elettriche e idriche, le centrali, gli oleodotti. Scrive John Robb in un post su Global Guerrillas: This is a classic global guerrilla urban takedown. Swarms of attackers hit systempunkts to cause infrastructure meltdowns aimed at social disruption. This global guerrilla neo-blitzkrieg will not be something the overstretched Iraqi government and US forces will be able to counter. Good luck guys, you are going to need it. Più sotto, nei commenti, si ricorda che ormai la maggior parte dei fondi stanziati dal Congresso per ricostruire l'Iraq se ne vanno per la sicurezza, e si cita un articolo del Los Angeles Times: When Congress initially approved $18.4 billion in November 2003 to help rebuild Iraq, the majority of the money was intended to improve electrical and water systems, which had suffered from years of neglect during United Nations-imposed sanctions. But the reconstruction program has struggled to take off in the face of violent attacks, intimidation of workers and allegations of fraud. In the face of spiraling violence, reconstruction officials have shifted funds during the last few months to improve security. Now, the largest chunk of money, about $5 billion, pays for weapons, uniforms and other equipment to help Iraqi forces quell the insurgency. C'è perfino qualcuno che si chiede se il caos in medio-oriente sia un incubo per l'amministrazione americana o se sia uno scenario deliberatamente pianificato e voluto da Bush. Qui un articolo di Josh Marshall sull'argomento (notare che l'articolo è del 2003). Come diceva un vecchio volpone, a pensar male si fa peccato però in genere ci si prende.

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Commenti su: Tutto bene a Baghdad

Tale è il disastro e tale il battage della propaganda che nessuno si chiede più come si presenta la situazione sotto altri profili che normalmente metteremmo ai primi posti. C’è forse qualcuno che si chiede in che stato sia l’economia? E meno male che grazie ai babbi neoliberisti di GW eravamo finiti in una fase economicista all’esasperazione.
Quindi ricapitolando torture, metodi spicci, e decessi massicci non devono creare scrupoli in quanto una nuova (?) guerra esige una nuova (?) etica. Mentre stato delle infrastrutture di base (luce, acqua) e non (educazione, sanità, amministrazione), prospettive economiche e di vita non contano di fronte al dato storico per del voto.
Sulla questione del caos intenzionale o meno io sarò anche testardo e sempliciotto, ma se prendo in mano una cartina non vedo gli Stati Uniti confinanti con l’area: come che vada se lì continuerà ad andare male non saranno certo loro i primi a trovarsi nella merda.

ciao

Commento di Antonio, 23.02.05 09:14

è davvero triste e deprimente!!!
e non si può nemmeno dire: “ve l’avevo detto…”
cosiglio la lettura di un classico:

The Future of Iraq and U.S. Occupation (Noam Chomsky)

Let’s just imagine what the policies might be of an independent Iraq, independent, sovereign Iraq, let’s say more or less democratic, what are the policies likely to be?
Well there’s going to be a Shiite majority, so they’ll have some significant influence over policy. The first thing they’ll do is reestablish relations with Iran. Now they don’t particularly like Iran, but they don’t want to go to war with them so they’ll move toward what was happening already even under Saddam, that is, restoring some sort of friendly relations with Iran.
That’s the last thing the United States wants. It has worked very hard to try to isolate Iran. The next thing that might happen is that a Shiite-controlled, more or less democratic Iraq might stir up feelings in the Shiite areas of Saudi Arabia, which happen to be right nearby and which happen to be where all the oil is. So you might find what in Washington must be the ultimate nightmare—a Shiite region which controls most of the world’s oil and is independent. Furthermore, it is very likely that an independent, sovereign Iraq would try to take its natural place as a leading state in the Arab world, maybe the leading state. And you know that’s something that goes back to biblical times.
What does that mean? Well it means rearming, first of all. They have to confront the regional enemy. Now the regional enemy, overpowering enemy, is Israel. They’re going to have to rearm to confront Israel—which means probably developing weapons of mass destruction, just as a deterrent. So here’s the picture of what they must be dreaming about in Washington—and probably 10 Downing street in London—that here you might get a substantial Shiite majority rearming, developing weapons of mass destruction, to try to get rid of the U.S. outposts that are there to try to make sure that the U.S. controls most of the oil reserves of the world. Is Washington going to sit there and allow that? That’s kind of next to inconceivable.
What I’ve just read from the business press the last couple of days probably reflects the thinking in Washington and London: “Uh well, okay, we’ll let them have a government, but we’re not going to pay any attention to what they say.” In fact the Pentagon announced at the same time two days ago: we’re keeping 120,000 troops there into at least 2007, even if they call for withdrawal tomorrow.
And the propaganda is very evident right in these articles. You can even write the commentary now: We just have to do it because we have to accomplish our mission of bringing democracy to Iraq. If they have an elected government that doesn’t understand that, well, what can we do with these dumb Arabs, you know? Actually that’s very common because look, after all, the U.S. has overthrown democracy after democracy, because the people don’t understand. They follow the wrong course. So therefore, following the mission of establishing democracy, we’ve got to overthrow their governments.
I think that [conscription] is going to be a last resort. The reason is the Vietnam experience. The Vietnam experience, I think, is the first time in the history of European imperialism that an imperial power tried to fight a colonial war with a citizen’s army. I mean the British didn’t do it, and the French had the Foreign Legion… In colonial wars, civilians are just no good at. [Colonial wars are] too brutal and vicious and murderous. You just can’t take kids off the street and have them fight that kind of war. You need trained killers, like the French Foreign Legion.
In fact you could see it happening in Vietnam. To its credit, the U.S. army fell apart. It took too long, but finally the army essentially fell apart. Soldiers were on drugs, they were fragging officers, not following orders, and so on and the top brass wanted them out. If you look back at the military journals in the late Sixties, they were writing about how we gotta get this army out of here or the army’s going to collapse—much like the head of the Army reserves said two or three days ago. He said this is becoming a broken force.
http://www.chomsky.info/articles.htm

Commento di panini, 23.02.05 14:04

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